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NY Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4-4-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (4-0) vs. NY Mets (0-4)
April 4, 2024 3:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -130 / Detroit Tigers +111; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and New York Mets meet Thursday in doubleheader MLB action at Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Mets prediction.

Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers look to remain unbeaten after beating the White Sox and the Mets. The Tigers pitching staff has been dealing, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their first 4 games. The Tigers produced a shutout against the Mets on Monday and have allowed a combined 2 runs in their last 19 innings. Mark Canha leads the Tigers with 4 hits and 3 RBI, while Kerry Carpenter and Carson Kelly have combined for 8 hits and 6 RBI. Casey Mize and Matt Manning will get the ball for the Tigers. The Tigers will meet the Athletics and Pirates after this series.

Mets Betting Preview

The Mets are still looking for their first win of the season after getting swept by the Brewers. The Mets haven’t gotten going offensively, as they’ve produced 8 combined runs through 4 games. The Mets have scored 1 or fewer runs in 3 of their first 4 games. It’s just not going to win many games in MLB. Francisco Alvarez leads the Mets with 6 hits and 2 RBI, while Starling Marte and Pete Alonso have combined for 9 hits and 2 RBI. Adrian Houser and Jose Butto will get the ball for the Mets.

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last six games.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
  • The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Tigers and Mets.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won each of their last nine day games following a win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games at Citi Field.
  • The Tigers have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight Thursday games.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Mets.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.

Tigers vs Mets prediction

Game 1 prediction: You can make a case for the Tigers given the way they’re pitching and the way the Mets aren’t hitting. I wouldn’t talk you off the ledge. With that said, it’s only a matter of time before this Mets offense gets rolling. Also, Mize hasn’t pitched in a MLB game since April 2022 as he’s been recovering from Tommy John surgery. Who knows how Mize is going to look out there. Maybe the day off helps the Mets get on track? Either way, I’m siding with the Mets due to the unknown surrounding Mize.

Game 2 prediction: I’m not sure if we can trust the Mets to win twice in a day when they have yet to win a game this season. Butto still has to prove himself a bit, given he has just 8 MLB starts and hasn’t been great in the short sample size. Manning has been sharp over the last two seasons, and that includes a 3.58 ERA and 1.04 WHIP last season. Give me the Tigers.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Game 1: NY Mets / Game 2: Detroit Tigers

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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