NY Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction 6-28-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a NY Mets vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 28th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series. 

Mets are Red Hot Offensively 

The New York Mets are 39-39 this year and they have won four of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series win against the Yankees, where they won both games by scores of 9-7 and 12-2. Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Cubs, won two out of three against the Rangers, and won all three against the Padres. New York is 11-2 in their last 13 games and they are third in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .232 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 375 runs with a .250 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Francisco Lindor is batting .246 with 13 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has scored at least five runs in eight of their last ten games. 

Astros are Going for Eight Straight Wins 

The Houston Astros are 40-40 this season and they have won seven games in a row. Houston is coming off of a series win against Colorado, where they won both games by scores of 5-2 and 7-1. Prior to that series, the Astros swept the Orioles in three games, won two out of three against the White Sox, and won two out of three against the Tigers. Houston has climbed up to the second spot in the AL West, but they are still 4.5 games behind Seattle. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 367 runs with a .263 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .303 with 12 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least five runs in six straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Jose Quintana, who is 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 78.2 innings pitched this year. Quintana has allowed one earned run in his last two starts (12.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 8-2 with a 2.34 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched this season. Blanco has allowed one earned run or fewer in three straight starts. 

Why the Astros will beat the Mets

• The Astros have won each of their last seven games.
• The Mets have lost seven of their last eight home games against AL West opponents following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday night games.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Astros’ last 11 games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last three road games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six Friday games against AL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last seven home games.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Single in each of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight night games.
• Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in 39 of his last 46 home appearances against AL opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against AL West opponents.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last seven games against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in three of his four previous appearances with the Astros as favorites against the Mets.
• Chas McCormick has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last six road games.
• Chas McCormick has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 14 night games.
• Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Ronel Blanco ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.34) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for triples this season (6).
• The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (303).
• The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.263).
• The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (541).

NY Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction 

These two teams come into this series playing very well and both of them are back to .500 entering this game. New York is 20-23 at home this year, while Houston is 16-21 on the road. The Astros are starting Ronel Blanco, who has been great in each of his last three starts. Blanco has really been good all season long, while Quintana is not very reliable. Both offenses are hitting the cover off of the ball right now, but I have to give the edge to Blanco and the Astros. My NY Mets vs Houston Astros prediction is for the Astros to win.