NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction 7/25/26 MLB Picks Today

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Los Angeles Dodgers will send out Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the start here and Yamamoto is 10-6 with a 2.78 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Nolan McLean will start for the Mets and is 7-6 with a 3.34 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Mets from Friday to improve to 66-38 this season. After this series, the Dodgers will head home for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Dodgers Win 3 In A Row

Entering Friday, Andy Pages has 105 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs and 68 RBIs while Teoscar Hernandez has 58 hits with 9 doubles, 8 home runs and 37 RBIs. Shohei Ohtani has 102 hits with 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 60 RBIs and Freddie Freeman has 109 hits with 25 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 51 RBIs this season. Will Smith has 6 home runs and 23 RBIs as well this season. Max Muncy’s added 82 hits with 16 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 RBIs and Kyle Tucker has 82 hits with 18 doubles, 7 home runs and 48 RBIs this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to Los Angeles on Friday to fall to 43-61 on the year. After this series, the Mets will take on the Atlanta Braves in a series at home.

Mets Drop Back-To-Back Games

Going into Friday, Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 68 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 64 hits with 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 30 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 103 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 51 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 57 hits with 7 doubles and 11 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 98 hits with 13 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 40 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets Betting Trends: July 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean      Record this season: 7-6      ERA: 3.34
• Home Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Dodgers: 0-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last four Saturday games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have lost each of their last four Saturday night games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
• The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto      Record this season: 10-6      ERA: 2.78
• Road Record: 6-2
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-0

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

• The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line each of their last seven games at Citi Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL West opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight home games against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Luis Robert has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL West opponents.
• Nolan McLean has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
• Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games.
• Nolan McLean ranks 9th in the league for total Strikeouts (135) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Max Muncy has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
• Yoshinobu Yamamoto has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL East opponents.
• Shohei Ohtani ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (129).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (129).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
• The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m backing the Dodgers here. I get the case to be made for the Mets with McLean on the bump as he’s been their ace this season. However, the Dodgers are still a strong lineup against righties and Friday was proof that even with a decent matchup, it’s very hard to trust this Mets lineup to produce consistently. I think that the Dodgers add to New York’s misery here so give me the Dodgers.