Miami Marlins (45-77) vs. NY Mets (63-59)
August 17, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -192 / Miami Marlins +161; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and NY Mets meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction. This article will include a NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 45-77 on the year after playing the Padres and Phillies. The Miami Marlins have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Miami Marlins have won 8 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Jake Burger leads the Miami Marlins with 97 hits and 55 RBI while Jesus Sanchez and Nick Gordon have combined for 148 hits and 80 RBI.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets are 63-59 on the year after playing the Mariners and Athletics. The NY Mets have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The NY Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 131 hits and 70 RBI while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 211 hits and 138 RBI.
Miami Marlins vs NY Mets Pitching Pick Matchup
Max Meyer gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 3-2 with a 5.20 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Meyer has allowed 22 hits and 14 runs in his last 15.1 innings. Meyer has a 4.80 ERA and .250 allowed batting average in 15 road innings. This will be Meyer’s first career game against the NY Mets.
Luis Severino gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 7-6 with a 4.17 ERA and 109 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 14 hits and 8 earned runs in his last 10 innings. Severino has a 3.54 ERA and .242 allowed batting average in 68.2 home innings. Severino is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Why the New York Mets will Beat the Marlins
- The Mets have won each of their last six home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have covered the run line each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Saturday games against the Marlins.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in five of the Mets’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 17 games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in 11 of the Marlins’ last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last six Saturday games.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Jake Burger has hit a home run in five of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs.
NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Max Meyer hasn’t been good in a small sample size, and the Marlins struggle to string runs together since trading away half of their lineup. The NY Mets simply can’t afford to blow games like this as they’re fighting for their lives in the wild card race. Luis Severino has been respectable this season, and he’s been at his best at home. This is a game the Mets can’t lose if they’re serious about stealing one of those wild card spots. Give me the Mets and the RL for max betting value.
