NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 8/30/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Edward Cabrera here and Cabrera is 7-7 with a 3.32 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Cabrera is 1-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 15 strikeouts. David Peterson will get the start for the Mets here and is 8-5 with a 3.18 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Miami, Peterson is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from a 19-9 loss at the hands of the Mets on Friday to fall to 63-72 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Marlins Drop 5 Of Their Last 8

Xavier Edwards has 138 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 97 hits with 22 doubles. Otto Lopez has 108 hits with 18 doubles and 12 home runs with 65 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 18 home runs, 27 doubles and 58 RBIs on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Mets have lost eight of their last 10 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous road appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last seven day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Marlins on Friday to sit at 73-62 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers. 

Mets Win 6 Of Their Last 8

Pete Alonso has 139 hits with 34 doubles, 31 home runs, 110 RBIs and a .269 batting average while Juan Soto has 119 hits with 16 doubles, 22 stolen bases, 33 home runs and 81 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 146 hits with 25 stolen bases along with 28 doubles, 25 home runs and 75 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 14 home runs and 50 RBIs, but also has 85 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 125 hits with 24 doubles and 22 home runs and 77 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 12 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Marlins have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won five of their last six games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games at Citi Field.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Marlins.
• Juan Soto ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Mets’ last 10 home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m on the Mets in this one. I just think that the Mets are the better team here, and Miami, while they have a solid starting option here in Edward Cabrera, the Marlins offence behind him has had a hard time getting offense going against left-handed pitching and I think that could be a problem here considering that David Peterson has been a solid option for the Mets on the bump so far this season. I’ll side with New York at home in this one.