NY Mets vs NY Yankees Prediction 5/15/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Cam Schlittler for the start here and Schlittler is 5-1 with a 1.35 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Schlittler’s first career start against the Mets. Clay Holmes will start for the Mets and is 4-3 with a 1.86 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Holmes’ first career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-0 loss at the hands of the Orioles last time out to sit at 27-17 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Yankees Drop 6 Of Last 8

Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 40 hits with 9 doubles, 13 home runs and 29 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 42 hits with 7 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 42 hits with 10 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 29 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 31 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs as well on the year.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 9-4 win over the Detroit Tigers last time out to sit at 18-25 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Mets Win 3 In A Row

Luis Robert Jr. has 19 hits including 2 home runs and 8 RBIs while Juan Soto has 28 hits with 4 doubles, 5 home runs and 13 RBIs. Brett Baty has 27 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 15 RBIs while Francisco Lindor has 21 hits with 2 doubles and a pair of triples as well. Marcus Semien also has 35 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 38 hits with 5 doubles, 2 home runs and 18 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 27 hits with 5 doubles and 4 home runs this season.

New York Yankees @ New York Mets Betting Trends: May 15, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Clay Holmes      Record this season: 4-3      ERA: 1.86
• Home Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Yankees: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as road favorites.
• The Mets have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Yankees.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Yankees’ last 12 games at Citi Field.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday night road games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Yankees at Citi Field.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cam Schlittler      Record this season: 5-1      ERA: 1.35
• Road Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost six of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road night games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mets.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in five of their last six games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last nine road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last six home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mets’ last eight games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against former teams.
• Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Yankees.
• Clay Holmes ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.86) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in five of the Yankees’ last six games as road favorites against the Mets.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.349).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for RBIs this season (153).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (66).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.433).

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but this is a great pitching matchup between two offenses I’ve had a hard time trusting, lately the Yankees, and season long, the Mets. This just feels like it has the makings of a 3-2 kind of game so give me the under here.