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NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6-8-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (44-19) vs. NY Mets (27-35)
June 8, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets +133 / Philadelphia Phillies -145; Over/Under: +10.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from London Stadium. Here’s a NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This will be the first installment in a two-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies played well against the Milwaukee Brewers in their last series. Philadelphia managed a sweep in those three games, taking wins 3-1, 2-1 and 2-0. In the Wednesday victory, Phillies starter Aaron Nola finished with 7.0 clean frames, two hits, no walks and five strikeouts.

For the Saturday starting pitcher role the Phillies will send out Ranger Suarez. This year Suarez is 9-1 with a 1.70 ERA in 12 starts. He’s got 79 Ks in 74.0 innings total. Suarez is 38-22 with a 3.17 ERA in 146 career games (78 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they also played well in their last series, notching a similar sweep against the Washington Nationals. New York won those games 8-7, 6-3 and 9-1. In the game three victory, New York’s Luis Severino was great on 8.0 innings, one earned, seven hits, no walks and four strikeouts.

It’ll be Sean Manaea in the starting pitcher role for the Mets on Saturday. So far this year Manaea is 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA in 11 starts. He’s got 57 Ks in 57.0 innings total. Manaea is 68-58 with a 4.08 ERA in 207 career games (177 starts).

Phillies vs Mets Injury Notes

Mets RP Edwin Diaz (shoulder) will get one more rehab outing on Sunday before rejoining the team next week. SP Kodai Senga (shoulder) is expected to throw a bullpen session Monday or Tuesday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four night games against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four night games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in five of the Mets’ last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last eight night games.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
  • Starling Marte has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in each of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies’ last five games against the Mets.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll probably lean toward the Phillies. I could go either way here, though. Suarez left his last start  on June 1 in the second inning after being hit in the left hand by a comebacker. The X-rays turned out negative however, so he should be fine for Saturday. Suarez did give up four earned in 6.0 frames versus the Rockies on May 26 though, so he’s got some bouncing back to do. As for Manaea, he gave up five earned in 5.2 innings during a loss to the Diamondbacks his last time up.

New York’s offense has generated 23 runs in the last three games and they’ve scored four or more runs in six straight outings. Philadelphia is going to have to keep the clamps down in order to hold back the Mets bats. Suarez should be up for it, though.

Andrew's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -145

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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