Philadelphia Phillies (92-62) vs. NY Mets (85-69)
September 22, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets +136 / Philadelphia Phillies -161; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Mets vs Phillies pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
In their last set the Phillies played the Milwaukee Brewers. Philadelphia managed a 5-1 Tuesday win but lost the other pair. After a split in the first two games versus the Mets, on Saturday Philly took a 6-3 loss. Starter Ranger Suarez gave up two earned in 5.0 innings of work.
It’ll be Zack Wheeler in the start for the Phillies on Sunday. This year Wheeler is 16-6 with a 2.56 ERA in 30 starts. Wheeler is 103-69 with a 3.34 ERA in 257 career starts.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Over on the Mets’ side, they took on the Washington Nationals in their last set. New York won all three of those games for a sweep. On Saturday the Mets posted three runs in the seventh inning to pull ahead for good. Sean Manaea logged three earned over 7.0 innings as starter.
Tylor Megill will step in for the start on Sunday for New York. So far Megill is 4-5 with a 4.08 ERA in 14 games (13 starts). Megill is 21-21 with a 4.59 career ERA in 72 games (65 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Mets’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last eight road games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Tylor Megill has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Phillies.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in two of the Mets’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games against NL East opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Mets’ last 13 games against NL opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 15 games.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 15 games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Bryce Harper has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has scored a run in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games against the Mets.
- Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Alec Bohm has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Phillies’ last four games at Citi Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 14 road games.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 14 road games.
New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’m going with the Mets. Megill is doing well over his last two games, going 1-0 in that pair. He’s got a total of 12.0 innings in those two with zero earned runs on three hits and four walks. As for Wheeler, he’s 3-0 in his last trio with four earned over 19.0 innings total in that time. We should have a fun starter matchup (and a lower-scoring game) here.
On Saturday the Mets got a nice offensive effort capped by a pair of home runs. The bullpen was solid as well, notching 2.0 clean frames, one hit no walks and two Ks. I like New York to keep it rolling Sunday.
