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NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6-15-24 Picks

San Diego Padres (37-35) vs. NY Mets (30-37)
June 15, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -120 / San Diego Padres +102; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Cit Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

In their last series, the Padres took on the Oakland Athletics. San Diego did very well in that set, winning all three games 6-1, 4-3 and 5-4 for a sweep. In the Friday opener matchup versus the Mets, the Padres had five hits in a tough 2-1 loss. Starter Matt Waldron had 7.0 innings with two earned runs on three hits and two walks.

It’ll be Adam Mazur in the starting role for the Padres on Saturday. So far this year Mazur is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and four Ks in 9.0 innings over the first two starts of his MLB career.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played the Miami Marlins in their early-week series. New York lost the opener of that set 4-2 but came back for victories 10-4 and 3-2 in the remaining pair. On Friday the Mets got two RBI from a third-inning hit by JD Martinez. Starter Sean Manaea had 5.0 innings with four hits, one earned and one walk.

Jose Quintana will take the starter role for the Mets on Saturday. This year Quintana is 1-5 with a 5.29 ERA in 13 starts. He’s got 44 Ks in 66.1 innings. Quintana is 93-98 with a 3.80 ERA in 341 career games (315 starts).

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Padres’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four day games at Citi Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Padres and Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • J.D. Martinez has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last six games against NL West opponents at Citi Field.
  • Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Saturday appearances.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jose Iglesias has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Padres.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Padres.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances at Citi Field.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Padres’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
  • Jurickson Profar has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.329) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets rank T28th in the league for triples this season (6).
  • The New York Mets rank T28th in the league for walks allowed this season (267).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for hits this season (644).
  • The San Diego Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.261).

NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’ll probably take a stab on the Padres. Probably also staying away, though; this one’s going to depend on the starters. Mazur is coming off a rough outing in a loss to the Diamondbacks, giving up eight earned in 3.0 innings. As for Quintana, he’s been spotty over his last pair with six earned in 7.2 total innings. This game could get messy in a hurry if neither starter is on point.

In the Friday game the Padres had a pretty solid game overall pitching-wise. There wasn’t much going on at the plate, though. Jurickson Profar and Luis Arraez had four of the team’s five hits. San Diego has to get the bats going Saturday.

Andrew's Free Pick: San Diego Padres +102

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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