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NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 5-26-24 Picks

San Francisco Giants (27-26) vs. NY Mets (21-30)
May 26, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets +105 / San Francisco Giants -125; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 26th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Mets Look to Snap Losing Streak 

The New York Mets are 21-30 this season and they have lost five games in a row. New York has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 15 runs in the two losses. Prior to this series, the Mets were swept by Cleveland, lost two out of three against Miami, and lost three out of four against Philadelphia. New York has lost 12 of their last 15 games and they are fourth in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, and Nationals. 

The New York pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 218 runs with a .235 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .234 with 12 home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York is 17th in team ERA this year and they have allowed at least six runs in six of their last eight games. 

Giants are Officially Hot 

The San Francisco Giants are 27-26 this year and they have won eight of their last nine games. San Francisco has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-7 and 7-2. Prior to this series, the Giants won two out of three against Pittsburgh, swept Colorado in three games, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. San Francisco is 12-5 in their last 17 games and they are second in the NL West behind the Dodgers. 

The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 234 runs with a .250 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .240 with eight home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Giants this season. San Francisco is 11th in runs scored so far this year and they have scored at least six runs in seven of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 3-1 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 46.1 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but has not gone more than five innings in three of those outings. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Logan Webb, who is 4-4 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 65.1 innings pitched this season. Webb has allowed just four earned runs in his last three starts (19.0 IP), but did allow eight earned runs in the previous two starts. 

Why the San Francisco Giants will win

The Giants have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games at Citi Field.
The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Giants’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last seven games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last five day games at Citi Field.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last five day games against NL East opponents.

NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 

San Francisco is coming off of two crazy wins to start this series and they have taken full advantage of the mistakes made by New York. The Giants are just 12-16 on the road this year, but they are one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now. New York is 10-16 at home and they are really struggling right now. The Mets pitching staff is falling apart and they have had some costly fielding mistakes. New York will turn to Sean Manaea to try and get a win, but hasn’t been going very deep into games. San Francisco is starting Logan Webb, who has been very solid, but has also struggled in two of his last three road starts. The Giants have all of the momentum in this matchup and there is no way I am taking the Mets with how games one and two finished. My NY Mets vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Giants to get another win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Giants ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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