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NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 7-11-24 Picks

Washington Nationals (42-50) vs. NY Mets (45-45)
July 11, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -128 / Washington Nationals +109; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 11th at Citi Field. 

Nationals Pitching Needs to be Better

The Nationals’ offense scored two runs on Wednesday, but the pitching gave up six runs and that led to the defeat. The Nationals are averaging 4.19 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.47 runs per game. The offense is ranked 19th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 19th. They do have a negative run differential of -0.27 which is 21st in the league. Getting the start for Washington in this game will be MacKenzie Gore, who sits with a 6-7 record and an ERA of 3.83. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went 3.1 innings giving up six hits and five runs. The Nats will meet the Brewers and Rockies after this series.

Mets Lean on Big 6th Inning

The Mets scored four runs in the sixth inning and that was enough for the Mets to secure the 6-2 victory. Jose Iglesias had a strong game, finishing with three hits and two runs. The Mets are averaging 4.81 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.81 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th while the pitching is ranked 24th. The offense has been good, but the pitching has left some to be desired this year. Getting the start for the Mets will be David Peterson who sits with a 3-0 record and an ERA of 3.58. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went 4.1 innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Mets Will Beat the Nationals 

  • The Mets have won each of their last 10 Thursday home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have lost each of their last eight Thursday day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction

MacKenzie Gore’s ERA isn’t too high, but he is coming off a game where he gave up five runs in 3.1 innings. The Mets scored six runs on Wednesday, and they are going to score at least that here. The Nationals bats are going to be ice-cold against Peterson, who has a perfect 3-0 record so far. The Mets are going to pull away early, and they are going to have no issue cruising to the victory. Back the Mets on the run line. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Mets- 1.5

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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