NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9-17-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 17th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 82-68 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. New York won game one in this series in extra innings by a score of 2-1 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the Blue Jays, and won two out of three against the Reds. New York is 13-4 in their last 17 games and they are second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 710 runs with a .247 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .242 with 32 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 68-82 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Washington dropped game one in this series and scored just one run in the game. Prior to this series, the Nationals won three out of four against the Marlins, split two games with the Braves, and split four games with the Pirates. Washington is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Nationals’ offense has scored 625 runs with a .243 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage. Luis Garcia is batting .281 with 16 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 3-5 with a 4.48 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 62.1 innings pitched this year. Megill has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-9 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed at least three earned runs in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Mets will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last nine night games following a road loss.
• The Mets have won each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a win.

Why the Nationals will beat the Mets

• The Nationals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have lost four of their last five Tuesday games as favorites.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Mets’ last seven home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three home games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jose Iglesias has recorded a Double in three of his last four home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
• Tylor Megill has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Tylor Megill has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Nationals.
• Jeff McNeil has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Joey Gallo has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
• Keibert Ruiz has scored at least one run in six of the Nationals’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Citi Field.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Citi Field.

NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

New York was able to get the dramatic win in extra innings on Monday night and they are now sitting in the last wild card spot in the NL, one game up on the Braves. New York is 41-34 at home, while the Nationals are 32-43 on the road. Washington has played decently well over the last two weeks, but Mitchell Parker has been pretty inconsistent over the last three months.

New York is starting Megill, who does have an elevated ERA but has pitched well in two of his last three starts. I think the Mets are going to jump on Parker in this game, but I also expect Megill to pitch into some trouble, so I like the over here.