NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9/20/25 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will send out Cade Cavalli for the start here and Cavalli is 3-1 with a 4.76 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. This will be Cavalli’s first career start against the Mets. Nolan McLean will get the start for the Mets here and is 4-1 with a 1.19 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. This will be McLean’s first career start against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to rebound from a 12-6 loss to start the series against the Mets, falling to 62-92 this season. After this series, the Nationals will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.

Nationals Lose 8 In A Row

James Wood has 145 hits with 37 doubles and a team-high 27 home runs along with 89 RBIs and 15 stolen bases while also putting up 212 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 145 hits with 18 home runs and 58 RBIs along with 34 doubles and 31 stolen bases while Luis Garcia Jr. has 28 doubles and 13 stolen bases of his own this season. Josh Bell also has 104 hits with 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 61 RBIs this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have won 16 of the Mets’ last 23 games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 12 Saturday day games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Nationals from Friday’s opener to sit at 80-74 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.

Mets Win 4 Of Last 5

Pete Alonso has 161 hits with 37 doubles, 37 home runs, 122 RBIs and a .272 batting average while Juan Soto has 145 hits with 19 doubles, 34 stolen bases, 42 home runs and 103 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 164 hits with 30 stolen bases along with 34 doubles, 27 home runs and 79 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 17 home runs and 58 RBIs, but also has 107 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 145 hits with 27 doubles and 24 home runs and 88 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 13 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 15 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 11 home games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last nine games at Citi Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last five games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 18 games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five home appearances against the Nationals.
• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.397) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Prediction

I’m on the Mets here. I’ll give credit to New York for taking advantage of winnable spots despite their struggles down the stretch to keep themselves in the hunt in the wild card race and there’s just a seismic edge in starting pitching in this matchup. Cavalli’s decent, but he’s had issues on the road while McLean’s been every bit as good as advertised and has yet to allow a run in his home starts this season. I’ll side with the Mets in this one.