NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/1/26 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. The New York Yankees will send out Will Warren here and Warren is 3-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Warren is 1-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back from their 11-5 loss at the hands of the Houston Astros last time out to sit at 15-16 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Orioles Fail To Complete Sweep

Taylor Ward has 35 hits with 13 doubles and 11 RBIs while Gunnar Henderson has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 9 home runs and 19 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 23 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs. Adley Rutschman has 21 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 27 hits with 2 doubles, 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Dylan Beavers also has 18 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-0 loss at the hands of Texas last time out to sit at 20-11 this season. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Texas Rangers in a series at home.

Yankees Looking To Stay Hot

Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 32 hits with 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 23 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 28 hits with 5 doubles, 12 home runs and 20 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 26 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 22 hits with 5 doubles as well on the year.

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 1, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren      Record this season: 3-0      ERA: 2.59
• Home Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Orioles: 1-2

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last eight road games following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Povich      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 2.19
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Yankees: 0-2

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won 12 of their last 13 night games against the Yankees following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Ten of the last 11 games between the Orioles and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous home appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
• Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
• Taylor Ward ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.438) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (48).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.11).
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.265).
• The Orioles rank T27th in the league for hits allowed this season (286).

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m backing the Yankees in this one. As much as I don’t love Will Warren in this Yankee rotation, he’s still a solid option and I’m tired of waiting for the Orioles to get their act together and play like the Orioles I expected to see bounce back this season. The Yankees are rolling right now, and I think New York takes care of business for the win in this one. Give me the Yankees.