NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9-26-24 MLB Picks

The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Thursday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Orioles pick.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

In their weekend set the O’s took on the Detroit Tigers. Baltimore won 7-1 Friday then dropped the next pair. After a 5-3 win over the Yankees Wednesday, in game two the Orioles powered out a 9-7 win. Zach Eflin finished with 4.2 innings and three earned in the start.

In the starter slot for the Orioles on Thursday it’ll be Corbin Burnes. This year Burnes is 15-8 with a 2.95 ERA in 31 starts. In 198 career games (137 starts) Burnes is 60-35 with a 3.19 ERA.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they swept the Oakland Athletics 4-2, 10-0, and 7-4 over the weekend. In Wednesday’s game two, New York coughed up 17 hits in the loss. Starter Marcus Stroman gave up six in 3.1 innings on 10 hits.

It’ll be Gerrit Cole in the starter slot on Thursday. This season Cole is 7-5 with a 3.67 ERA in 16 starts. Cole is 152-80 with a 3.19 ERA in 316 starts over his career.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Orioles’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last three games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five Thursday night games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Yankees’ last five games as home favorites.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Yankees’ last 11 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 14 games against AL East opponents.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (57) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games at Yankee Stadium against opponents that held a winning record.
• Anthony Santander has hit a home run in eight of the Orioles’ last 11 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 16 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Yankee Stadium.
• James McCann has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Single in each of the Orioles’ last nine games against the Yankees.
• Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Anthony Santander ranks 3rd in the league in Home Runs (44) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (232).
• The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (651).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (228).
• The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.435).

NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’ll probably try the Orioles here. We should have a fun starter matchup regardless. Burnes is rolling over his last pair with 14.0 innings and zero earned runs for a 2-0 record in that time. As for Cole, he’s going off a complete game with one earned on two hits and a walk versus Oakland. Cole took a loss with seven earned in 4.1 innings versus Boston before that, though.

On Wednesday the Orioles had two big innings on offense and held up pretty well defensively despite giving up 10 hits. I like Baltimore to keep it rolling on Thursday.