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NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-12-24 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (74-71) vs. NY Yankees (84-62)
September 12, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -158 / Boston Red Sox +145; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and NY Yankees meet Thursday in MLB game 1 action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 74-72 on the year after playing the White Sox and Orioles. The Boston Red Sox have scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 174 hits and 72 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 266 hits and 151 RBI. The Red Sox will take on the Rays after this series.

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The NY Yankees are 84-62 on the year after playing the Cubs and Royals. The NY Yankees have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The NY Yankees have split their last 8 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Aaron Judge leads the NY Yankees with 164 hits and 126 RBI, while Juan Soto and Anthony Volpe have combined for 299 hits and 155 RBI. The Yankees will play against the Mariners following this series.

Boston Red Sox vs NY Yankees Pitching Pick Matchup

Cooper Criswell gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 6-4 with a 4.11 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Criswell has allowed 6 hits and 2 runs in his last 9 innings. Criswell has a 4.43 ERA and a .291 allowed batting average in 44.2 road innings. Criswell is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the NY Yankees.

Nestor Cortes gets the ball for the NY Yankees, and he is 9-10 with a 3.97 ERA and 147 strikeouts this season. Cortes has allowed 9 hits and 5 runs in his last 8.1 innings. Cortes has a 3.19 ERA and .232 allowed batting average in 84.2 home innings. Cortes is 2-0 with a 5.22 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight Thursday road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have won seven of their last eight games against the Red Sox after going to extra innings.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road night games.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
  • Juan Soto has recorded a Double in four of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents at Yankee Stadium.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded a single in each of the Yankees’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last seven home games against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 11 games against AL East opponents.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
  • Jon Berti has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five road games against the Yankees.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one Double in five of his six previous road appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six road games against the Yankees.
  • Tyler O’Neill has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Boston Red Sox have won 5 of the last 8 games against the Yankees, so the plus money is worth a look. However, Cooper Criswell has been hit or miss this season, and he’s not somebody I trust on the road in a big matchup. Nestor Cortes has pitched his best at Yankee Stadium, and the Yankees are simply the better team that’s looking to finish with the best overall record in the AL. The Yankees are just more trustworthy, at home and have the better pitcher on the mound. I’ll lay the reasonable price with the Yankees.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Yankees -158

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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