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NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9-15-24 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (74-73) vs. NY Yankees (86-62)
September 15, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -170 / Boston Red Sox +150; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Red Sox pick.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

This past week the Red Sox took on the Baltimore Orioles. Boston lost Tuesday 5-3 but won the other pair. After two losses to New York 2-1 and 5-4, on Saturday the Sox were able to strike back with a dominant 7-1 victory.

In the starter slot for the Sunday finale the Red Sox will send out Kutter Crawford. This year Crawford is 8-14 with a 4.09 ERA in 30 starts. Over 83 career games (66 starts) Crawford is 17-29 with a 4.45 ERA.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they played the Kansas City Royals in their last set. New York lost 5-0 Tuesday but took the other pair of games for a series victory. On Sunday the Yankees were out-hit 9-5 in the loss, giving up four runs in the fifth inning alone.

As starter for Sunday it’ll be Carlos Rodon. So far Rodon is 14-9 with a 4.15 ERA in 29 starts. Over 195 career games Rodon is 73-63 with a 3.88 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Red Sox’s last six day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last four day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three day games at Yankee Stadium.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • DJ LeMahieu has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 11 games against AL East opponents.
  • Oswaldo Cabrera has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one total base in each of the Yankees’ last 11 games against AL East opponents.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded a Single in each of the Yankees’ last nine day games.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AL East opponents.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Yankees.
  • Danny Jansen has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Yankees.
  • Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Yankees.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded a Double in five of the Red Sox’s last six day games.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Yankees. Rodon needs a bit of help from the bats though. His last decision was a loss to the Nats on 5.2 innings and five earned. Since then however, Rodon has just three earned in 12.0 innings. As for Crawford, he’s 0-3 in his last trio but has given up just seven earned in 19.0 total frames.

On Saturday the Yankees saw a rough couple of innings from ace Gerrit Cole, who finished on 4.1 innings and seven earned runs. The good news is that the bullpen did pretty well; the bad news is that the offense didn’t. New York needs to play better on both sides Sunday.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Yankees -170

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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