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NY Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7-2-24 Picks

Cincinnati Reds (39-45) vs. NY Yankees (54-32)
July 2, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -204 / Cincinnati Reds +170; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Cincinnati played a four-game series versus the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend. The Reds lost 1-0 Friday but otherwise won 11-4 and 9-4 in the first three games. In the Sunday finale Cincinnati took another loss 2-0. Hunter Greene posted 4.2 innings with one earned run in the starter slot.

For the starter role on Tuesday the Reds will send out Graham Ashcraft. So far over 13 starts Ashcraft is 4-4 with a 5.45 ERA. Over his career in 58 starts, Ashcraft is 16-19 with a 4.95 ERA.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they took on the rival Toronto Blue Jays in their weekend set. New York struggled in that one, losing 9-2 and 9-3 around a 16-5 blowout win over the first three outings. On Sunday the Yankees evened it up with an 8-1 win. Gerrit Cole had a good start with 5.0 innings and one earned run.

As starting pitcher for Tuesday the Yankees will send out Luis Gil. This year Gil is 9-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 16 starts. Gil has a 10-4 career record with a 3.33 ERA in 23 starts total.

Yankees vs Reds Injury Pick Injury Notes

Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson was placed on the paternity list Friday.

Yankees RP Lou Trivino (elbow) has resumed throwing from a mound. DH Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) resumed activity on a treadmill late last week.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Reds’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last eight games.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jake Fraley has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last 10 games.
  • Graham Ashcraft has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.

NY Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Reds in this one. Probably not touching it, though; both starters could use a good showing. Over his last three starts, Ashcraft is 0-1 with 13.2 innings, 13 earned runs, 20 hits and three walks. As for Gil, he’s 0-2 over his last pair with 12 earned runs in 5.2 innings on 12 hits and six walks.

The Reds really need to get their bats going as well. Cincinnati scored exactly zero runs in two of their three weekend games. The good news is that New York has given up up five or more runs in five of their last six games. I’m probably staying away from this one, but the Reds may have a decent shot.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +170

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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