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NY Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7-3-24 Picks

Cincinnati Reds (39-45) vs. NY Yankees (54-32)
July 3, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -164 / Cincinnati Reds +139; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

In their weekend series, the Reds took on the St. Louis Cardinals. Cincinnati managed a draw in four games, winning 11-4 Thursday and 9-4 Friday alongside losses 1-0 and 2-0 otherwise. On Tuesday versus the Yankees, the Reds eked out a 5-4 win. Starter Graham Ashcraft logged 5.0 innings and three earned runs.

In the starter role for the Reds on Wednesday it’ll be Andrew Abbott. This year in his 16 starts Abbott is 7-6 with a 3.41 ERA. Over 37 career starts Abbott is 15-12 with a 3.66 ERA overall.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they played the rival Toronto Blue Jays in their last series and also posted a draw over four games. New York’s wins came 16-5 and 8-1; the losses were 9-2 and 9-3. On Tuesday the Yankees attempted to come back from a 5-0 deficit but fell short. Luis Gil managed 4.0 innings and four earned as starter.

Carlos Rodon will take the mound for the start Wednesday for New York. This season so far Rodon is 9-5 with a 4.42 ERA in 17 starts. Rodon is 68-59 with a 3.89 career ERA in 183 games (178 starts).

Yankees vs Reds Pick Injury Notes

Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson was placed on the paternity list Friday.

Yankees SP JT Brubaker pitched three shutout innings in a rehab outing Sunday.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Reds’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Juan Soto has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one total base in each of the Yankees’ last 12 games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 12 games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last six home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Reds.
  • Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in five of the Yankees’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jonathan India has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six games against the Yankees.
  • Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in eight of the Reds’ last nine games.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents.

NY Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I might take a stab on the Reds here. At least some of that is due to Rodon’s recent struggles. Over his last three starts, Rodon is 0-3 with 20 earned runs over 13.2 innings of work on 28 hits and six walks. As for Abbott, he’s given up seven earned in 15.2 innings over his last trio of outings.

On Tuesday, the Reds jumped out to an early lead and held on, making the most of five team hits. Both Elly De La Cruz and Will Benson had homers with two RBI apiece, but there wasn’t much else going on offensively. Cincinnati may have a better chance against Rodon in game two.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds +139

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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