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NY Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8-20-24 MLB Picks

Cleveland Guardians (72-52) vs. NY Yankees (73-52)
August 20, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -165 / Cleveland Guardians +140; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 20th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

NY Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 73-52 this year and they have won three of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series loss against Detroit, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Yankees won two out of three against the White Sox, won two out of three against the Rangers, and lost two out of three against the Angels. New York is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are battling the Orioles in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 635 runs with a .252 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .331 with 44 home runs and 111 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 72-52 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss against Milwaukee, where they lost all three games by scores of 5-3, 2-1, and 2-0. Prior to that series, the Guardians swept the Cubs, split four games with the Twins, and lost all three against the Diamondbacks. Cleveland is 5-10 in their last 15 games, but they are still leading the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 563 runs with a .238 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .277 with 32 home runs and 100 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is 12-6 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 121.2 innings pitched this year. Gil has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Matthew Boyd, who is 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA and a 0.56 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this season. Boyd allowed one earned run and three hits over 5.1 innings against the Cubs in his first outing.

Why the Guardians will beat the Yankees

  • The Guardians have won eight of their last nine Tuesday games as road underdogs.
  • The Yankees have lost four of their last five Tuesday games as favorites.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday games as road underdogs.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home night games.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last six games between the Guardians and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Guardians’ last 10 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last three games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gleyber Torres has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four games against AL Central opponents at Yankee Stadium.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Guardians.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last nine home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Guardians.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games as home favorites.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Guardians’ last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Guardians’ last 13 games as underdogs against the Yankees.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 14 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last six night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

NY Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

New York comes into this series locked into a battle with the Orioles in the AL East, but they have gone just 3-3 in their last six games. The Yankees are 32-27 at home this year, while the Guardians are 34-32 on the road. Cleveland has really cooled off over the last six weeks and they are barely hanging on in the AL Central. The Guardians are going with Matthew Boyd, who looked great in his first start, but this is a much more difficult lineup to face. New York is starting Luis Gil, who has had a few poor starts in the last few weeks, but has been solid this season. I liked what I saw from Boyd in his first start and the Yankees just went 3-3 against the Tigers and White Sox, so my NY Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for Cleveland to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Guardians ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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