NY Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction 8/26/26 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Peter Lambert for the start and Lambert is 8-7 with a 3.68 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. The New York Yankees did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their 9-7 win over the Yankees from Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 66-66 this season. After this series, the Astros will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Astros Snap Two-Game Slide

Entering Tuesday, Yordan Alvarez has 148 hits with 28 doubles, 36 home runs and 90 RBIs while Christian Walker has 108 hits with 24 doubles, 23 home runs and 72 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 99 hits with 16 doubles, 14 home runs and 40 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 118 hits with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 71 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 90 hits with 15 doubles, 17 home runs and 48 RBIs.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to shake off their loss to Houston on Tuesday to fall to 74-57 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Boston Red Sox in a rivalry series at home.

Yankees Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Going into Tuesday, Ben Rice has 116 hits with 20 doubles, 34 home runs and 82 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 53 hits with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 98 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 93 hits with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 51 RBIs as well on the year.

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: August 26, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Elmer Rodriguez      Record this season: 0-2      ERA: 4.76
• Home Record: 0-1
• Last 5 against Astros: –

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last eight night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have lost each of their last seven games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Yankees following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Astros following a loss.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Peter Lambert      Record this season: 8-7      ERA: 3.68
• Road Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Yankees: –

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last five games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against the Astros following a loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as home favorites against the Astros following a loss.
• The Astros have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Astros and Yankees have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last six games against AL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Yankees’ last 10 games as home favorites.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Astros.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (35) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two road games against AL opponents.
• Peter Lambert has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Peter Lambert has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents.
• Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.323) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (488).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (40).
• The Astros rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (545).

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Astros here. I get the case to be made for both sides in this matchup, but I just think at this price I have to take a shot with Houston. The Astros’ bats can run hot and cold and it’ll be interesting to see who New York sends out here, but in the end I have to back Houston here.