NY Yankees vs NY Mets Prediction 9/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Zac Thornton for the start here and Thornton is 3-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees here and is 8-8 with a 3.41 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-4 loss at the hands of the Yankees on Friday to sit at 68-79 this season. After this series, the Mets will head home for a game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Mets Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Entering Friday, Juan Soto has 92 hits with 9 doubles, 24 home runs and 59 RBIs. Brett Baty has 88 hits with 20 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 50 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 97 hits with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 45 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 151 hits with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 73 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 77 hits with 12 doubles and 15 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 144 hits with 19 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 55 RBIs.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mets last time out to sit at 85-62 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Yankees Win 4th In A Row

Going into Friday, Ben Rice has 134 hits with 22 doubles, 36 home runs and 88 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 55 hits with 10 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 118 hits with 25 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 64 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 107 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs and 55 RBIs as well on the year. Trent Grisham has 88 hits with 19 doubles, 18 home runs and 59 RBIs while Jose Caballero has 89 hits with 13 home runs and 47 RBIs.

New York Mets @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: September 12, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Gerrit Cole      Record this season: 8-8      ERA: 3.41
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Mets: 1-2

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last six home games.
• The Mets have lost five of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games at Yankee Stadium.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Zach Thornton      Record this season: 3-5      ERA: 3.53
• Road Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Yankees: –

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Yankees have lost 11 of their last 16 games as favorites following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games as underdogs against the Yankees.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as home favorites against the Mets following a home win.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Yankees’ last nine day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight day games against NL opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last six Saturday games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in 22 of his last 25 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Ben Rice ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Zach Thornton has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 15 road games against AL opponents.
• Luis Torrens has hit a home run in four of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.20).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (540).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (189).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).

New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Yankees in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game as the Subway Series is quite the rivalry matchup, but I think the Yankees are just the only team fighting for something and the rivalry aspect isn’t enough for me to get on board with the Mets. I’ll back the Yankees here.