NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 9-28-24 MLB Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates (74-85) vs. NY Yankees (93-66)
September 28, 2024 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -141 / Pittsburgh Pirates +119; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Pirates pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
In their last series the Pirates played the Milwaukee Brewers. Pittsburgh won 2-1 in the Wednesday game but lost the other two. On Friday versus New York the Pirates bagged a 4-2 win.
Starter for Saturday will be Paul Skenes. So far Skenes is 11-3 with a 1.99 ERA in the first 22 starts of his career. He’s got 167 Ks in 131.0 innings total.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the Yankees’ side, they took on the rival Baltimore Orioles in their last set. New York lost the first pair before a Thursday win 10-1. On Friday the Yankees blew a 2-0 lead on the way to six team hits.
Luis Gil will start for the Yankees on Saturday. This season Gil is 15-6 with a 3.27 ERA in 28 starts. Gil is 16-7 with a 3.36 ERA in 35 career starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances.
- DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four games against AL East opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has hit at least one home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games against AL East opponents.
NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I might try the Pirates here. Skenes should be able to start things off well at least. In his last three starts combined Skenes is 2-1 with just two earned runs in 17.0 total innings. As for Gil, he’s coming off four earned in 5.1 innings versus Oakland (still a win) but had just two in 10.0 innings prior to that.
On Friday the Pirates made the most of their six hits—four of which came from Nick Gonzales and Bryan Reynolds, who had three homers between them. Pittsburgh should get a good start from Skenes, so a few good swings could make the difference once again in game two.