Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) vs. NY Yankees (93-67)
September 29, 2024 3:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -222 / Pittsburgh Pirates +184; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Pirates pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Pittsburgh took on the Milwaukee Brewers in their last set. The Pirates lost two of three in that series. After a 4-2 win over New York on Friday, in game two Pittsburgh kept it going with a big win 9-4.
In the starter slot for the Pirates on Sunday it’ll be Bailey Falter. So far Falter is 8-9 with a 4.26 ERA in 27 starts. Over 87 career games (58 starts) Falter is 18-23 with a 4.56 ERA.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the New York side, they played the Baltimore Orioles in their last series. New York lost the first two games before a Thursday win 10-1. In Saturday’s matchup New York fell behind 5-1 by the sixth inning in the rough loss.
Clarke Schmidt will start for the Yankees on Sunday. So far this year Schmidt is 5-5 with a 2.55 ERA in 15 starts. Schmidt is 19-20 with a 3.88 ERA in 82 career games (52 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Pirates’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Yankees’ last seven home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last 11 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three games against NL Central opponents at Yankee Stadium.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Oswaldo Cabrera has scored a run in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one total base in each of the Pirates’ last nine road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Pirates as road underdogs against AL opponents.
New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I’m leaning toward the Yankees. Schmidt is 0-2 in his last three starts but he hasn’t pitched terribly. In that trio Schmidt has six earned over 16.0 total innings of work. As for Falter, he’s coming off four earned in 5.0 innings versus the Brewers but was pitching pretty well before that.
On Saturday the Yankees couldn’t find much success against seven different Pirates pitchers, including starter Paul Skenes (2.0 clean innings; three Ks). New York had a couple of ugly pitching outings themselves, including from Luis Gil (5.2 innings; six earned) in the start. The Yankees really need a win here in order to finish strong. This has not been a good series thus far.
