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NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5/24/26 MLB Picks Today

Tampa Bay Rays (34-15) vs. NY Yankees (30-22)
May 24, 2026 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -131 / Tampa Bay Rays +108; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Drew Rasmussen for the start here and Rasmussen is 4-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Ryan Weathers will start for the Yankees here and is 2-2 with a 3.58 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over the Yankees from Friday’s matchup to improve to 34-15 this season. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Rays Win 5 In A Row

Going into Friday, Yandy Diaz has 55 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 8 home runs and 33 RBIs while Chandler Simpson has 53 hits with 4 triples and 12 RBIs. Nick Fortes has 31 hits with 5 doubles, a home run and 9 RBIs and Jonathan Aranda has 45 hits with 7 doubles, 8 homers and 37 RBIs. Junior Caminero’s also added 49 hits with 5 doubles, 13 home runs and 27 RBIs and Ben WIlliamson has 30 hits with 6 doubles and 14 RBIs.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to bounce back from a loss at the hands of the Rays in Friday’s opener to sit at 30-22 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a game against the Kansas City Royals.

Yankees Lose 3 Straight

Entering Friday, Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 47 hits with 10 doubles, 16 home runs and 33 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 46 hits with 8 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 48 hits with 12 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 32 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 43 hits with 9 doubles, 5 home runs and 18 RBIs as well on the year.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 24, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Weathers      Record this season: 2-2      ERA: 3.58
  • Home Record: 2-2
  • Last 5 against Rays: 0-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Rays have lost six of their last seven road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have won 12 of their last 15 day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against AL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last three day games following a loss.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday home games.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen      Record this season: 4-1      ERA: 3.19
  • Road Record: 1-1
  • Last 5 against Yankees: 3-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Rays and Yankees.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Rays following a loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last seven games.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rays’ last seven day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Yankees’ last six day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six Sunday day games at Yankee Stadium.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Drew Rasmussen’s last seven appearances as a starter.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 home appearances.
  • Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Yankees as home favorites against the Rays.
  • Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.635) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances.
  • Drew Rasmussen has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against the Yankees.
  • Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in each of his three previous road appearances against the Yankees.
  • Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
  • Chandler Simpson ranks T5th in the league in Steals (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (74).
  • The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (231).
  • The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (349).
  • The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.261).

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Rays in this one. I just think that the Rays are too hot to go against right now and Drew Rasmussen has some solid career numbers against the Yankees. Ryan Weathers has been solid in his own right but the Rays just keep on finding ways to produce and grind out wins and I think they grind out another here. Give me the Rays.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +108

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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