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NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 7-19-24 Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (48-48) vs. NY Yankees (58-40)
July 19, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -192 / Tampa Bay Rays +161; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Tampa Bay Rays and NY Yankees meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction. This article will include a NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays look to get above a .500 record after games against the Rangers and Guardians. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored 6 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Tampa Bay Rays have lost 6 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 104 hits and 46 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Amed Rosario have combined for 159 hits and 76 RBI.


NY Yankees Betting Preview

The NY Yankees are 58-40 on the year after games against the Red Sox and Orioles. The NY Yankees have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The NY Yankees have split their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Aaron Judge leads the NY Yankees with 105 hits and 85 RBI, while Juan Soto and Anthony Volpe have combined for 200 hits and 98 RBI.

Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Pitching Pick Matchup

Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 5-6 with a 3.99 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Eflin has allowed 11 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 12 innings. Eflin has a 5.37 ERA and .282 allowed batting average in 55.1 road innings. Eflin is 3-2 with a 1.50 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the NY Yankees.

Gerrit Cole gets the ball for the NY Yankees, and he is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Cole has allowed 12 hits and 5 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Cole has a 6.48 ERA and .286 allowed batting average in 8.1 home innings. Cole is 4-7 with a 3.55 ERA and 167 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will Beat the Yankees

  • The Yankees have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have won six of the Yankees’ last seven games.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 17 of their last 18 Friday home games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
  • J.D. Davis has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (34) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in four of the Rays’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Taylor Walls has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against the Yankees.
  • Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
  • Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances in night games.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances at Yankee Stadium.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (488).
  • The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (469).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (376).

NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

The NY Yankees are a team that should benefit from the break, as they were playing terrible ball. They’re at home with Cole on the mound, so the Yankees are going to be big favorites. Zach Eflin has also been rough on the road. Still, this price is insane for a Yankees team that’s won just 9 games since June 13. The Rays also just took two of three from the Yankees last week. The value is with the Rays and the big plus money given this inflated line and with the Yankees are playing at the moment.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +161

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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