NY Yankees vs Texas Rangers Prediction 5/5/26 MLB Picks Today
Texas Rangers (16-18) vs. NY Yankees (24-11)
May 5, 2026 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -131 / Texas Rangers +109; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Rangers and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Texas Rangers will send out Jacob deGrom for the start here and deGrom is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, deGrom is 1-2 with a 2.01 ERA and 36 strikeouts. Elmer Rodriguez will start for the Yankees here and is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s second career start against the Rangers.
Texas Rangers Recap
The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to shake off their 7-1 loss at the hands of the Detroit Tigers last time out to sit at 16-18 this season. After this series, the Rangers will head home for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Rangers Drop 5 Of Last 7
Brandon Nimmo has 39 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 4 home runs and 12 RBIs while Jake Burger has 29 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs and 20 RBIs. Corey Seager has 26 hits with 6 doubles, 6 home runs and 17 RBIs while Wyatt Langford has 19 hits with 3 doubles, 2 triples, a home run and 4 RBIs. Evan Carter also has 17 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 9 RBIs while Josh Jung has 37 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 19 RBIs as well on the year.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to build on their 12-1 win over Baltimore from Monday’s series finale to sit at 24-11 this season. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Yankees Win 4 In A Row
Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 37 hits with 9 doubles, 12 home runs and 27 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 34 hits with 5 doubles, 14 home runs and 27 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 34 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 5 home runs and 23 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 26 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 12 RBIs as well on the year.
Texas Rangers @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Elmer Rodriguez Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 4.50
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Rangers: 0-1
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last 11 night games against American League opponents.
- The Rangers have lost seven of their last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob deGrom Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 2.01
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Yankees: 1-2
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Yankees have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Rangers have won three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Rangers have covered the run line each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Rangers and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Rangers’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rangers’ last 10 road games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Rangers and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games against AL West opponents.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances.
- Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (14) this season.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Corey Seager has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Josh Jung has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last 12 games.
- Josh Jung ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.325) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (57).
- The Yankees rank T1st in the league for steals this season (38).
- The Rangers rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (127).
- The Rangers rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (121).
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees Prediction
I’m on the Yankees in this one. I get the case to be made for the Rangers with Jacob deGrom on the bump. However, the Rangers’ offense continues to be hit or miss and Rodriguez wasn’t bad for his major league debut and I think he can ake amends for his few mistakes in this start. The Yankee offense is rolling right now and I think they do enough for another win here. Give me New York.