NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 5/19/26 MLB Picks Today

The Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will send out Dylan Cease for the start here and Cease is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 75 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Cease is 1-1 with a 4.55 ERA and 41 strikeouts. Will Warren will start for the Yankees here and is 5-1 with a 3.42 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s second career start against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-6 loss at the hands of the Yankees last time out to sit at 21-26 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Blue Jays Have Two-Game Win Streak Snapped

Andres Gimenez has 36 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs while Ernie Clement has 51 hits with 13 doubles and 16 RBIs. Kazuma Okamoto has 39 hits with 5 doubles, 10 home runs, 27 RBIs and a team-high 56 strikeouts while George Springer also has 5 doubles, 3 homers with 9 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 49 hits with 7 doubles, 3 home runs and 20 RBIs as well. Jesus Sanchez also has 36 hits with 6 doubles, 5 home runs and 20 RBIs.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Blue Jays from Monday to improve to 29-19 this season. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in a series at home.

Yankees Snap Two-Game Skid

Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 45 hits with 10 doubles, 15 home runs and 31 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 46 hits with 8 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 46 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 32 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 40 hits with 9 doubles, 5 home runs and 18 RBIs as well on the year.

Toronto Blue Jays @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 19, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren      Record this season: 5-1      ERA: 3.42
• Home Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Blue Jays: 0-0

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have lost eight of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dylan Cease      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.41
• Road Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Yankees: 1-1

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Yankees.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays following a win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
• The Blue Jays have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Yankees.
• The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Yankees.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Dylan Cease’s last 10 road appearances as a starter.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last six home games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances.
• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.662) this season.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five games against the Yankees.
• Dylan Cease has recorded nine strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in 20 of his last 21 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dylan Cease ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (75) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (71).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.433).
• The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (324).
• The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for triples this season (2).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays here. I think Cease has been Toronto’s ace to this point and while Toronto folded in the later stages of Monday’s opener, they gave the Yankees a headache and I think they’ll be able to battle here as well. Warren’s lone start against Toronto was a disaster, and I think that the Jays get to him and even up this series. Give me the Blue Jays.