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Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7-6-24 Picks

Baltimore Orioles (56-32) vs. Oakland Athletics (33-57)
July 6, 2024 4:07 pm EDT
The Line: Oakland Athletics +150 / Baltimore Orioles -175; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 6th at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Athletics Couldn’t Keep Momentum 

The Oakland Athletics are 33-57 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Oakland dropped game one in this series on Friday night and they only managed to score two runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Athletics swept the Angels in three games, lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, and lost all three against the Angels. Oakland is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are last in the AL West. 

The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 325 runs with a .221 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .270 with 17 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored at least five runs in three of their last four games. 

Orioles Remain Hot 

The Baltimore Orioles are 56-32 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Baltimore won the first game in this series by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Mariners, won three out of four against the Rangers, and lost two out of three against the Guardians. Baltimore is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are leading the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .223 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 450 runs with a .254 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .288 with 27 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore has allowed three runs or fewer in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Luis Medina, who is 1-3 with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP over 30.0 innings pitched this year. Medina has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this season. Povich has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Athletics

  • The Athletics have lost each of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have won eight of their last nine day games following a road win.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a road win.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Saturday games against AL East opponents.
  • The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 11 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Athletics’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Orioles’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last five day games.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Brent Rooker has recorded an RBI in three of the Athletics’ last four games against AL opponents.
  • Brent Rooker has hit a home run in two of the Athletics’ last three games as underdogs.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last nine Saturday games.
  • Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one Single in six of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one total base in each of the Athletics’ last nine Saturday games.
  • Shea Langeliers has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in 18 of his last 20 appearances with the Orioles as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games against the Athletics.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Athletics after playing the previous day.
  • Austin Hays has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against the Athletics after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Oakland Athletics rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.221).
  • The Oakland Athletics rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (868).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank T1st in the league for runs scored this season (450).
  • The Baltimore Orioles rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (142).

Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this game playing very well over the last nine games and they are now leading the AL East standings by three games over the Yankees. Baltimore is 27-15 on the road, while Oakland is just 21-24 at home this year. The Athletics have really dropped off with their pitching after a strong start to the season, and I don’t see Medina having much success in this game. Baltimore is going with Povich, who doesn’t go very deep into games, but he has been decent so far this year. I know Baltimore didn’t cover the run line on Friday night, but I think that is the only way to play this game, as I don’t want to go against this Orioles team right now. My Oakland Athletics vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for Baltimore to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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