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Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction 7-22-24 Picks

Houston Astros (52-47) vs. Oakland Athletics (39-62)
July 22, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Oakland Athletics +127 / Houston Astros -152; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 22nd at the Oakland Coliseum in Oakland, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Athletics Blew the Win on Sunday 

The Oakland Athletics are 39-62 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Oakland is coming off of a series win against the Angels, where they won two out of three games, but they did blow a 5-2 lead in the eighth inning on Sunday. Prior to that series, the Athletics won two out of three against the Phillies, lost two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Oakland is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL West. 


The Oakland pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .258 opponent batting average. The Athletics offense has scored 416 runs with a .230 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Brent Rooker is batting .294 with 22 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Athletics this season. Oakland has scored at least five runs in six straight games. 

Astros Coming Off of Huge Series Win 

The Houston Astros are 52-47 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Houston is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Rangers, swept the Marlins in three games, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Houston is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are tied for first with the Mariners in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 468 runs with a .261 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez is batting .301 with 20 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Astros this season. Houston has scored at least four runs in six of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 4-7 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP over 80.0 innings pitched this season. Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Oakland is Hogan Harris, who is 1-3 with a 3.40 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this year. Harris has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Athletics will beat the Astros

  • The Athletics have won each of their last five night games at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum following a loss.
  • The Astros have lost four of their last five night games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
  • The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last six night games at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum following a loss.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Monday night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Athletics have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL West opponents.
  • The Athletics have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against AL West opponents.

Why the Astros will beat the Athletics

  • The Astros have won each of their last six night games following a loss.
  • The Athletics have lost 18 of their last 22 home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
  • The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Monday night games.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Athletics.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Astros’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Athletics’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five road games against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last four night games against AL West opponents.

Oakland Athletics Player Prop Facts

  • Shea Langeliers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brent Rooker has hit at least one home run in each of the Athletics’ last two games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last nine games against AL West opponents.
  • Ryan Noda has recorded a Single in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Brent Rooker has recorded at least one total base in each of the Athletics’ last nine games against AL West opponents.
  • Ryan Noda has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Astros.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last 14 games against AL West opponents.
  • Alex Bregman has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last eight night games.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one Double in three of the Astros’ last four night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in five of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 14 games against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Oakland Athletics rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (967).
  • The Oakland Athletics rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
  • The Houston Astros rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.261).
  • The Houston Astros rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (888).

Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston started the season playing very poorly and they were pretty far behind Texas and Seattle in the AL West, but they have been great over the last month and they are now tied with Seattle for first. The Astros are 24-26 on the road, while the Athletics are 24-26 at home. Oakland has been red hot at the plate and their offense is producing at a very high rate right now. The A’s will go up against Arrighetti, who has been much better recently, but started the season very poorly. Houston will face Hogan Harris, who has done a very good job of limiting runs. The pitchers have done a nice job in recent outings, but I think we are going to see plenty of runs, especially with how the A’s are hitting. My Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 7.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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