
Orioles vs Athletics Prediction 6/7/25 MLB Picks Today
Orioles vs Athletics
June 7, 2025 10:05 pm EDT
The Line: Orioles -120 / Athletics +100 / Over/Under: 10.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Baltimore Orioles are visiting the Athletics on Saturday, June 7th at the Sutter Health Park in the second game of this series, with the Athletics having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Orioles vs Prediction. We will examine:
The Athletics’ recent form and player performance
The Baltimore Orioles’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Athletics
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles
Recent betting trends in games played between the Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics game
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 25-40 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL West. The Athletics have an 11-22 home record and are 36-24 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the Orioles, and now have back-to-back wins. Over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games and are playing the Royals and the Angels next.
The Athletics have a .257 batting average this season, .324 OBP, and .420 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 5.76 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 89 hits and a team-high .369 batting average, while Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 43 RBI and a team-high 14 home runs.
Luis Severino (R) will take the mound for the Athletics, and he has a 1-5 record, 4.54 ERA, and 1.27 WHIP. He has been terrible at home, with a 6.99 ERA across eight home starts, and he has lost his last five starts. In his previous start, he got torched by the Twins, giving up 8 runs in 5.2 innings of work. In his two starts against the Orioles last season, he got lit up for 16 earned runs in only 5.3 innings of work.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 23-37 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL East. The Orioles have a 13-20 road record and 28-30 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Athletics, which ended their previous six-game winning streak. Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games, and they are playing the Tigers and the Angels next.
The Orioles have a .237 batting average this season, a .302 OBP, and a .388 slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 5.11 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Ryan O’Hearn leads the Orioles with 59 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .317 batting average. Cedric Mullins leads the team in RBI, with 31, and in home runs, with 10.
Charlie Morton (R) will take the mound for the Orioles, and he has a 2-7 record, 6.20 ERA, and 1.58 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 7.00 ERA across five road games, but he is coming off a shutout start against the White Sox in 6.2 innings of work. Charlie Morton has a 2-1 record with an ERA of 2.58 and 51 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Oakland Athletics in his career.
Why the Athletics will win
- The underdogs have won three of the Orioles’ last four games.
- The Orioles have lost 16 of their last 18 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against the Athletics following a loss.
- The Athletics have lost 15 of their last 16 night games after playing the previous day.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games as road favorites against the Athletics following a loss.
- The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents.
- The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Athletics’ last 10 games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last four games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Orioles’ last six road games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.76).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (261).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (90).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.11).
Orioles vs Athletics Prediction
The Orioles are 7-4 in their last 11 overall meetings against the Athletics, and are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Oakland. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Orioles vs Athletics Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -120 road favorites. Both teams have identical overall records, but the Athletics are the second-worst home team in the whole MLB. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup as they both have a combined 10.74 ERA, and both teams have bottom-5 bullpens, with a combined 11.37 ERA. Sutter Health Park is a hitter-friendly park, and the total is high for a reason, and both teams are better against right-handed pitching. There are also 10 mph winds blowing out, so everything points out towards a high-scoring game. Take the over 10.5 in this one.