Orioles vs Cubs Prediction 7/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 7th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 42-49 this season after they won two out of three against the Reds by scores of 3-0, 8-5, and 2-3. In game three, Baltimore cut the deficit to 3-2 in the ninth inning, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Orioles recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Mayo, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Bradish allowed five hits and three earned runs over 7.2 innings for the loss, while Garcia pitched one out in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Nationals. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.34 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 416 runs with a .238 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 19 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Shane Baz, who is 4-8 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 101.0 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 50-40 this year after they lost two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 1-17, 0-3, and 6-4. In game three, Chicago trailed 3-2 in the sixth inning, but they scored the next four runs to get the win. The Cubs recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Hoerner, who went 1-3 with two RBIs. Assad allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Pomeranz picked up the win and Webb got the save. Prior to that series, Chicago swept the Padres in three games and won two out of three against the Brewers. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while they have scored 455 runs with a .244 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 3-1 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Cubs’ last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Cubs and Orioles.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games against the Orioles.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last nine games against the Orioles.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last four games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the last five games between the Cubs and Orioles have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last 10 Tuesday games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Cubs’ last eight road games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Cubs.
• Shane Baz has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Shane Baz has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games against AL opponents.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Cubs Prediction 

Baltimore had their winning streak snapped on Sunday in game three of their series with the Reds, but they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Orioles are 24-23 at home this year, while the Cubs are 23-21 on the road. Chicago has won four of their last six games and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Cubs are starting Boyd, who has allowed 3, 0, 2, 5, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Baz has allowed 2, 5, 3, 2, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. Take the under here.