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Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction 9/7/25 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (78-64) vs. Baltimore Orioles (66-76)
September 7, 2025 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles 134 / LA Dodgers -165; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 7th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 66-76 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 4-3. In their game two win, Baltimore failed to record a single hit in the first eight innings, but scored four in the ninth for the victory. The Orioles recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Rivera, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Suarez picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles swept the Padres in three games, but lost two out of three against the Giants before that. Baltimore has won five games in a row and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .261 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 618 runs with a .241 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 17 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 10-7 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 140.2 innings pitched this year. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 78-64 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday night. Los Angeles led for just about the entire game, but they fell apart in the ninth and found another way to lose. The Dodgers recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Betts, who went 2-5 with two RBIs in the loss. LA started Yamamoto, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 8.2 innings, while Treinen was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Dodgers lost all three against the Pirates and two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Los Angeles has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently first in the NL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 714 runs with a .252 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Shohei Ohtani has led LA with 46 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Andy Pages has added 24 home runs and 79 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Clayton Kershaw, who is 9-2 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 93.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Dodgers

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The underdogs have won seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL West opponents.

Why the Dodgers will beat the Orioles

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last four day games following a loss.
  • The Orioles have lost four of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games.
  • The Dodgers have won the first inning in each of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Dodgers’ last eight road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last seven home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last five day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Orioles’ last six day games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Dylan Carlson has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Freddie Freeman has hit at least one home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five day games.
  • Clayton Kershaw has recorded a win in eight of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Enrique Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
  • Clayton Kershaw has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against AL East opponents.

Orioles vs Dodgers Prediction 

Los Angeles continued their losing streak on Saturday by blowing a three run lead in the ninth, and they are only up by one game in the NL West. The Dodgers are 33-38 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 33-37 at home. Baltimore has won five games in a row and they are starting Sugano, who has allowed 11 earned runs and 16 hits in his last two starts. Los Angeles is starting Kershaw, who has allowed 4, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the over in this contest. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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