Orioles vs Marlins Prediction 7/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Orioles vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Orioles vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 42-50 on the year and play the Royals, Padres, and Brewers next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .388 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 89 hits and 22 RBI, while Kyle Stowers and Eric Wagaman have combined for 160 hits and 81 RBI.

Edward Cabrera gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 3-3 with a 3.33 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s second career game against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 42-50 on the year and play the Rays, Guardians, and Rockies next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 91 hits and 31 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 162 hits and 70 RBI.

Dean Kremer gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 7-7 with a 4.53 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. This will be Kremer’s second career game against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Marlins have lost 21 of their last 23 night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Orioles have won eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last three games.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won 10 of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jordan Westburg has recorded at least one Double in six of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded seven strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as home favorites.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as home favorites.
• Ryan O’Hearn ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.382) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last three night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Marlins Prediction

Cabrera is a talented pitcher who is starting to come into his own, which includes allowing eight earned runs in his last 32.2 innings. The problem is the Marlins aren’t stringing together offense as of late, and it’s leading to losses. The Orioles are enjoying a strong week and Kremer has been great in 38 home innings, posting a 2.37 ERA and .200 allowed batting average. The Marlins have the pitching edge, but the O’s are swinging the bats at a better rate lately. Give me the Orioles.