Orioles vs Mets Prediction 7/9/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s a Orioles vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Orioles vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 53-39 on the year and play the Royals, Reds, and Angels next. The New York Mets are batting .246 on the season, have a .325 OBP, and a .420 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 100 hits and 75 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 181 hits and 103 RBI.

David Peterson gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 6-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. Peterson is 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-50 on the year and play the Marlins, Rays, and Guardians next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .239 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 87 hits and 29 RBI while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 161 hits and 70 RBI.

Tomoyuki Sugano gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 6-5 with a 4.44 ERA and 57 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s first career game against the New York Mets.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Orioles’ last four games.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
• Colton Cowser has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last four games as road favorites against the Orioles.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Wednesday night appearances against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Orioles vs Mets Prediction

The Mets look to have found their footing and that should continue here against a struggling Sugano. In his last 29.1 innings, Sugano has allowed 45 hits and 23 earned runs. In 44 home innings, Sugano has a 4.91 ERA and .288 allowed batting average. Peterson is having a solid season with a 3.18 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. The Mets are looking like the Mets again, and they have a clear edge on the mound. The line is reasonable. Give me the Mets for another win.