Orioles vs Nationals Prediction 5/18/25 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and the Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Orioles vs Nationals Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Washington Nationals will send out Michael Soroka for the start here, and Soroka is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. This will be Soroka’s first career start against the Orioles. Baltimore will send out Zach Eflin for the start here, and Eflin is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Eflin is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 31 strikeouts.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to add on to their 10-6 win over the Orioles on Saturday to improve their record to 20-27 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a division series against the Atlanta Braves.

Nationals Pushing For Sweep

Keibert Ruiz has 43 hits with 7 doubles and a pair of home runs with 16 RBIs, while James Wood has 49 hits with 11 doubles and a team-high 12 home runs, along with 28 RBIs and 6 stolen bases, while also putting up 55 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 40 hits with 8 doubles and 33 RBIs, along with 8 home runs and 54 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 6 home runs and 16 RBIs along with 9 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 7 doubles and 6 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• • The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last five games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games following a home loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Josh Bell has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nathaniel Lowe has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Soroka has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
• Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Nationals as underdogs.
• James Wood ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Nats on Saturday, dropping to 15-29 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for another interleague series against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Orioles Drop 5^th In A Row

Cedric Mullins has 33 hits so far this season as well as 7 doubles, 8 home runs, and 25 RBIs, with 6 stolen bases and a .220 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 32 hits with 6 doubles, 4 homers, and 11 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 34 hits with 10 doubles, and Jackson Holliday has 36 hits with 4 doubles, 5 homers, with 16 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 24 hits with 10 doubles, 2 homers, and 14 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 46 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 35 hits with 4 doubles and 7 home runs with 14 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 14 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have won three of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a road win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against the Nationals.
• Ramon Urias has recorded an RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Ramon Laureano has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Zach Eflin has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Orioles as favorites.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in four of his last nine home appearances with the Orioles against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Nationals’ last 12 games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eleven of the Orioles’ last 12 day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

Orioles vs Nationals Prediction

I’m on the Nationals here. I know Eflin is one of the better options in the Orioles rotation, but right now, that’s not saying a whole lot. The Orioles are in the running for the biggest disappointment through the first third of the season so far. Soroka is far from a world-beater and an ace, but the Nationals have been playing the better baseball in this series, and at this price, I can’t turn them down.