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Orioles vs Nationals Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

Washington Nationals (42-42) vs. Baltimore Orioles (39-45)
June 28, 2026 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -199 / Washington Nationals 163; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action at Oriole Park. Here’s an Orioles vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 42-42 on the year and play the Red Sox and Pirates next. The Washington Nationals are batting .246 on the season and have a .319 OBP and a .422 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.70 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 83 hits and 57 RBI, while James Wood and Daylen Lile have combined for 164 hits and 88 RBI.

Zack Littell gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 6-6 with a 5.40 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Littell is 3-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 39-45 on the year and play the White Sox and Reds next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .240 on the season and have a .320 OBP and a .400 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 81 hits and 22 RBI, while Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso have combined for 156 hits and 95 RBI.

Kyle Bradish gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-7 with a 3.64 ERA and 94 strikeouts this season. Bradish is 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last six home games after going to extra innings.
  • The Nationals have lost seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Orioles.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Nationals’ last six games against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of Kyle Bradish’s last nine home appearances as a starter.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Colton Cowser has hit a home run in five of the Orioles’ last six Sunday games.
  • Jeremiah Jackson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Zack Littell has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Orioles rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (773).
  • The Orioles rank 5th in the league for walks this season (316).
  • The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (443).
  • The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (421).

Orioles vs Nationals Prediction

The Nationals have cooled off this week, and Littell doesn’t seem to be the pitcher to turn things around. Littell has a 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 18 hits and 12 runs in his last 15.2 innings. On the road, Littell has a 4.25 ERA and a .250 allowed batting average. No thanks. Bradish has been more trustworthy this season, especially at home, where he has a 3.15 ERA and a .210 allowed batting average. The Orioles have also won 5 of Bradish’s last 6 starts. The O’s should win this game with the quick turnaround, and of course, I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Baltimore Orioles -1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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