Orioles vs Phillies Prediction 7/31/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 31st at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 53-56 this year after they won two out of three against the Tigers by scores of 8-5, 0-14, and 10-9. In game three, Baltimore trailed 7-0 in the sixth inning, but they rallied to win in 12 innings. The Orioles recorded nine hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Holliday, who went 2-3 with three RBIs. Rogers allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Wolfram got the win and Kittredge picked up the save. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Red Sox. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while they have scored 501 runs with a .237 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 22 home runs and 67 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 18 home runs and 45 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 8-2 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 97.2 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 57-52 this season after they lost all three against the Marlins by scores of 7-8, 0-1, and 6-8. In game three, Philadelphia led 6-0 in the fifth inning, but they allowed the last eight runs for the disappointing loss. The Phillies recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stott, who went 1-2 with two RBIs. Luzardo allowed six hits and six earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Bowlan was charged with the loss. Prior to that series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Yankees and two out of three against the Dodgers. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.26 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 473 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 22 home runs and 64 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is TBD. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL East opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Orioles have lost each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have won 12 of their last 13 night games following a road loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have won the first inning in four of their last five games against AL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last three road games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last nine home games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last four games as underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a favorite against the Phillies.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against the Phillies.
• Taylor Ward ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.383) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against opponents that held a losing record.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (423).
• The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (423).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
• The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).

Orioles vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this matchup after a terrible series in Miami and they are seven games back in the NL East. The Phillies are 29-25 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 29-27 at home. Baltimore has won three of their last five games and they have scored 8+ runs in two of their last three. The Orioles are starting Young, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 13.1 innings, while the Phillies have not announced their starter. Take the Orioles at home, as Young has been very good recently.