Orioles vs Pirates Prediction 9/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 9th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 66-77 this year after they won two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 2-1, 4-3, and 2-5. In their game three loss, Baltimore cut the deficit to 4-2 in the sixth, but couldn’t find anymore runs in the defeat. The Orioles recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Jackson and Rivera, who both had one RBI in the loss. Baltimore started Sugano, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Garcia allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles won all three against the Padres, but lost two out of three against the Giants before that. Baltimore has won five of their last six games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 620 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 17 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this year. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 64-80 this season after they lost all three against the Brewers by scores of 2-5, 1-4, and 2-10. In their game three loss, Pittsburgh allowed 10 of the first 11 runs and never had a chance in the blowout loss. The Pirates recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Devanney and Peguero, who both had one RBI in the loss. Pittsburgh started Chandler, who allowed nine hits and nine earned runs over 2.2 innings for the loss, while Ramirez allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Pirates won all three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Red Sox. Pittsburgh has split their last six games and they are last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 522 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 19 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 15 home runs and 70 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mike Burrows, who is 2-4 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost each of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have won five of their last six games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Pirates’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Pirates’ last eight road games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 11 games as favorites.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as favorites.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Tommy Pham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Double in five of the Pirates’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Pirates Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup after an impressive series win over the Dodgers, while Pittsburgh was dominated by Milwaukee. The Orioles are 33-38 at home this year, while the Pirates are 22-47 on the road. Pittsburgh is starting Burrows, who has allowed a total of two earned runs over his last 14.0 innings. Baltimore is starting Bradish, who has allowed four earned runs and eight hits over 10.0 innings this season. I like how Bradish has pitched in limited action and I will take the Orioles to get another win.