Orioles vs Rays Prediction 6/19/25 MLB Picks Today

The Baltimore Orioles are visiting the Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday, June 19^th at the Oracle Park in the fourth game of this series, with the Rays having a 2-1 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Orioles vs Rays Prediction. We will examine:

The Tampa Bay Rays’ recent form and player performance

The Baltimore Orioles’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tampa Bay Rays

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Baltimore Orioles

Recent betting trends in games played between the Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays game

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 41-33 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL East. The Rays have a 25-21 home record and are 29-42 in over/under. They are coming off a 12-8 home victory over the Orioles, and are 5-1 in their last 6 games. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Tigers and the Royals next.

The Rays have a .253 batting average this season, a .320 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. Tampa’s pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Jonathan Aranda leads the Rays with 75 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .329 batting average. Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI, with 48, and in home runs, with 17.

Drew Rasmussen (R) will take the mound for the Rays, and he has a 6-4 record, 2.55 ERA, and 0.95 WHIP. He has been better at home with a 2.04 ERA across ten home starts, but he is coming off a bad start against the Mets, where he gave up 4 runs in 5 innings of work. Drew Rasmussen has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 2.89 and 22 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Orioles in his career.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 31-42 record this season and are sitting in last place in the AL East. The Orioles have a 15-23 road record and 33-36 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-12 road defeat by the Rays, and are 4-2 in their last 6 games. Under is 6-4 in their last 10 games, and are playing the Yankees and the Rangers next.

The Orioles have a .241 batting average this season, a .305 OBP, and a .398 slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.  Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 73 hits, while Ryan O’Hearn is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average. Cedric Mullins leads the team in RBI, with 35, and in home runs, with 12.

Charlie Morton (R) will take the mound for the Orioles, and he has a 3-7 record, 6.05 ERA, and 1.66 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road, with a 7.97 ERA across six road games, and he has two shutouts in his last three starts. Charlie Morton is 4-3 with an ERA of 2.94 and 59 strikeouts in 8 appearances against the Rays in his career.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have lost three of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Thursday night road games.
• The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last 11 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost four of their last six games as favorites against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against the Rays.

Total Runs Facts

• Twelve of the Orioles’ last 15 night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Rays’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Orioles’ last seven night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rays’ last six games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 1st in the league for steals this season (100).
• The Rays are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
• The Orioles rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (101).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.270).

Orioles vs Rays Prediction

The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Orioles, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Tampa. Under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Orioles vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -150 home favorites. The Rays are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record and have been above average at home, while the Orioles have been struggling on the road. The Rays have the second-best bullpen in the league, and they have a better offense than the Orioles, hitting much better against right-handed pitching, with 5.3 runs per game. The Rays also have the pitching advantage, as Rasmussen is looking great this season and much better at home, while Morton is still struggling for the Orioles. So my Orioles vs Rays Prediction is to pick the Rays to take care of business at home.