Orioles vs Rays Prediction 8/14/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, August 14^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 74-46 record this season and are sitting in 1st place in the AL East. They have a 41-18 home record and are coming off an 8-4 away win against the Athletics. They will face the Blue Jays and the Orioles next.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a .261 batting average this season, a .331 OBP, and a .408 slugging percentage. The Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Chandler Simpson leads the Rays with a .307 batting average, while Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI with 77 and adds a team-high 35 home runs.

Steven Matz (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 5-4 record, a 5.46 ERA, and a 1.23 WHIP.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 58-63 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the AL East. They have a 26-33 away record and are coming off a 5-7 away loss against the Twins. They will face the Yankees and the Rays next.

The Baltimore Orioles have a .235 batting average this season, a .320 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Orioles’ pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the Orioles with a .259 batting average, 26 home runs, and 77 RBI.

Kyle Bradish (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 7-11 record, a 3.69 ERA, and a 1.34 WHIP.

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: August 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Steven Matz      Record this season: 5-4      ERA: 5.46
• Home Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Orioles: 0-1

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 12 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost 15 of their last 16 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last nine games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 13 road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish      Record this season: 7-11      ERA: 3.69
• Road Record: 4-6
• Last 5 against Rays: 1-2

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The road team has won each of the Rays’ last 10 games.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Orioles following a road win.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last 13 games.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five home games following a win.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in four of their last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Rays’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Orioles’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last eight night games between the Orioles and Rays.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last five night games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit a home run in three of the Rays’ last four games as favorites.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Orioles.
• Junior Caminero ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kyle Bradish has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.261).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (854).
• The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (468).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1112).

Orioles vs Rays Prediction

The Orioles have won their last three meetings against the Rays but have lost their last three visits in Tampa.

In this Orioles vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -155 home favorites. I like the Rays in this one, as they have been the hottest team in baseball with nine consecutive wins, while the Orioles are 2-5 in their last 7 games. Bradish has not been in good shape for the Orioles with a 5.27 ERA across his last three starts and will face a red-hot Rays offense that has been scoring 7.9 runs against righties in their last five games and have the best home record in baseball. Take the Rays at home in this one.