Orioles vs Rays Prediction 6/27/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles meet Friday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s an Orioles vs Rays Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs Rays Pick.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 46-35 on the year and play the Athletics, Twins, and Tigers next. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .257 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .406 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 87 hits and 44 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 161 hits and 92 RBI.

Ryan Pepiot gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 5-6 with a 3.04 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. Pepiot is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 34-46 on the year and play the Rangers, Braves, and Mets next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .236 on the season, have a .302 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP. Gunnar Henderson leads the Baltimore Orioles with 75 hits and 23 RBI, while Jackson Holliday and Ryan O’Hearn have combined for 142 hits and 62 RBI.

Tomoyuki Sugano gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he is 5-4 with a 3.55 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s first career game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against the Orioles following a road win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last six road games.
• The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Colton Cowser has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games against the Rays.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as favorites against the Orioles.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 19 games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.329) this season.

Orioles vs Rays Prediction

I continue to back the Rays, and they continue to turn a profit. The Rays are a winning team that doesn’t have inflated lines because they’re not a public squad that has inflated prices. I’m backing them here as well with Pepiot on the mound, a pitcher with a 3.04 ERA and 1.10 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed seven runs in his last 24.2 innings. Sugano has allowed three or more runs in his last three starts, and he’s hittable at home, where he has a 3.92 ERA and .275 allowed batting average. Give me the Rays and the cheap price.