Orioles vs Reds Prediction 4/18/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Orioles vs Reds Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 18th, at Oriole Park @ Camden Yards. Let’s take a look at a Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds pick.

Orioles Heating Up?

The Orioles have not had the best season, but they might be heating up with back-to-back wins. On Wednesday they picked up a 9-1 victory over the Cleveland Guardians and on Thursday,T they won 6-2. Ryan O’Hearn was the star on Thursday hitting a home run and driving in three RBIs. Tomoyuki Sugano went seven innings giving up five hits and two runs. He had three strikeouts and zero walks. 

The Orioles are averaging 4.58 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.74 runs per game. The offense is ranked 10th, but overall, the pitching has been a problem so far this season. Cade Povich is going to get the start for the Orioles, and he sits with a 0-1 record and an ERA of 3.60. Against the Toronto Blue Jays in his last start he went 4.2 innings giving up seven hits and two runs. 

Why the Orioles  Will Beat the Reds

• The Reds have lost each of their last five road games after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have won each of their last three games against the Reds.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Reds following a home win.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against the Reds at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.

What an Awful Loss for the Reds

It was an awful loss on Thursday for the Reds. The Reds gave up two runs in the top of the 9th to allow the Seattle Mariners to tie the game and another four runs in the 10th ended up leading to the four run loss. Emilio Pagan needs to turn it around quickly or he might no have a spot in the league for long. He went one inning, giving up two hits and two runs. Jake Fraley was the top offensive player, hitting a home run and driving in four RBIs. 

The Reds are averaging 4.12 runs while their pitching is giving up 3.74 runs per game. The pitching has been ranked 5th in baseball and they can’t bow this game like they did thet last one. Elly De La Cruz has hit three home runs and driven in 18 RBIs. Andrew Abbott will be on the mound for the Reds and he sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 1.80. Against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went five innings, giving up two hits and one run. 

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Orioles’ last seven games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four night games against National League opponents.

Orioles vs Reds Prediction

After the Reds lost on Thursday, the confidence has to be gone, and I don’t expect they to magically bounce back here. Andrew Abbott was good in his last start but it’s not going to matter if the bullpen is going come in and blow it again. Povich hasn’t been lights out, but he’s been good enough, and he’s going to have a strong start here. The Reds bats are going to be ice cold and the Orioles are going to pick up another win and keep the winning streak alive. Back Baltimore on the money line.