Orioles vs Rockies Prediction 7/25/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 25th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 45-57 this season after they lost three out of four against Cleveland by scores of 5-10, 3-6, 2-3, and 4-3. In their game four win, Baltimore blew a 3-0 lead in the middle innings, but they scored the winning run in the seventh for the victory. The Orioles recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Laureano, who went 1-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Morton, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Soto picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Marlins. Baltimore has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 416 runs with a .238 batting average and a .302 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 14 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 8-7 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this season. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 26-76 this year after they won two out of three against St. Louis by scores of 2-6, 8-4, and 6-0. In their game three win, Colorado jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the fourth inning and they never looked back in the shutout victory. The Rockies recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Farmer and Beck, who both went 2-4 with two RBIs in the win. Colorado started Gordon, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Herget and Kinley closed out the shutout. 

Prior to that series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Twins, but lost two out of three against the Reds before that. Colorado has won four of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.50 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP and a .294 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 369 runs with a .235 batting average and a .294 on base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with 18 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Mickey Moniak has added 15 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 2-10 with a 5.19 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rockies

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The home team has won 10 of the Rockies’ last 13 games.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last eight home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last four road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rockies’ last seven games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ramon Laureano has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded seven strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in four of the Orioles’ last five games as favorites.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games as favorites.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Orioles as home favorites.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Ryan McMahon has hit a home run in four of the Rockies’ last five night games.
• Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one Double in each of the Rockies’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Freeland has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Rockies Prediction 

Colorado comes into this series with one of the worst records in the MLB, but they have won two series in a row and have some momentum. The Rockies are just 12-38 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 22-25 at home. Baltimore is coming off of a rough series with the Guardians and they are starting Kremer, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Colorado is going with Freeland, who has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five. This Rockies team has been awful on the road and while I don’t really trust Baltimore, I will take them -1.5 here.