Orioles vs Twins Prediction 3/26/26 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Here’s an Orioles vs. Twins Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs. Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins won 70 games last season and have made the playoffs once in the last five years. Outside of adding Josh Bell and Trevor Larnach to the lineup and Taylor Rogers as a closer, the Twins had a quiet offseason. The bullpen overall was revamped and that may not be a bad thing after a rough season. The problem is I’m not sure the Twins have enough to compete in the AL Central, which is all of a sudden become a competitive division. The Tigers are title contenders after what they did last season; the Royals are supposed to be good and the Guardians are always lurking. A 1-2 punch of Joe Ryan and Taj Bradley at the top of the rotation is strong, but the rest of this team is whatever if we’re being honest.

Joe Ryan gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he was 13-10 with a 3.42 ERA and 194 strikeouts last season. Ryan is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles took a step back last season with just 75 wins and were aggressive in hopes of getting back to the playoffs. The Orioles made splashes by bringing in Taylor Ward and Pete Alonso to beef up the batting order. Chris Bassitt and Shane Baz add depth to the rotation and Ryan Helsley gives the O’s a reliable closer. Throw in Trevor Rogers, and the Orioles have one of the better starting rotations in baseball. The offense is exciting again, as Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have protection in the order. The AL East is no joke, as we all know but the Orioles are back in the thick of things and have to be taken seriously. The Orioles should be fun this season. 

Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he was 9-3 with a 1.81 ERA and 103 strikeouts this season. This will be Rogers’ first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Twins have lost each of their last seven day games following an extra innings loss.
• The Orioles have won each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five season openers.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after going to extra innings.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home openers.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home openers.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last six games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last nine games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last nine games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances.
• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last six appearances in season openers.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the Twins.
• Trevor Rogers has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Pete Alonso ranked 8th in the league in Home Runs (38) last season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Byron Buxton ranked 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles ranked 27th in the league for strikeouts last season (1457).
• The Orioles ranked 27th in the league for home runs allowed last season (217).
• The Twins ranked 4th in the league for walks allowed last season (459).
• The Twins ranked 25th in the league for opponent batting average last season (.256).

Orioles vs Twins Prediction

Joe Ryan and plus money are worth a look, as he had a strong season and gives the Twins a fighting chance each night. The problem is Rogers was better and has another gear he can reach in his career. Also, the Orioles are the better team overall with legit expectations. This should be a nice crowd with energy in the building. I’m just not high on the Twins, as they didn’t make enough moves to shake things up. It’s exciting times in Baltimore, and I’m on board. The price is cheap. Give me the Orioles.