Orioles vs Twins Prediction 3/29/26 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles meet Sunday in MLB action at Oriole Park. Here’s an Orioles vs. Twins Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs. Twins Pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 1-1 on the year and play the Royals and Rays next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .153 on the season and have a .257 OBP, and a .237 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 1.59 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 3 hits and 0 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Victor Caratini have combined for 2 hits and 1 RBI.

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he was 6-9 with a 5.10 ERA and 120 strikeouts last season. Ober is 1-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 1-1 on the year and play the Rangers and Pirates next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .167 on the season, have a .282 OBP, and have a .200 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 2.00 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. Adley Rutschman leads the Baltimore Orioles with 2 hits and 0 RBI while Jeremiah Jackson and Blaze Alexander have combined for 3 hits and 2 RBI.

Shane Baz gets the ball for the Baltimore Orioles, and he was 10-12 with a 4.87 ERA and 176 strikeouts last season. This will be Baz’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Twins have lost eight of their last nine day games following a road win.
• The Orioles have won six of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 day games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in five of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last 12 games as favorites against the Twins following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs against the Orioles following a win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last 11 games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last eight day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six home games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven day games against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Orioles as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against the Twins.
• Pete Alonso ranked 8th in the league in Home Runs (38) last season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in day games.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
• Byron Buxton ranked 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.551) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Orioles ranked 27th in the league for strikeouts last season (1457).
• The Orioles ranked 27th in the league for home runs allowed last season (217).
• The Twins ranked 4th in the league for walks allowed last season (459).
• The Twins ranked 25th in the league for opponent batting average last season (.256).

Orioles vs Twins Prediction

These are two capable offenses and after two games the jitters should be out of the system. It’s time for the bats to wake up after two low-scoring games. While Ober and Baz are better pitchers than what they showed last season, the bottom line is they both struggled more times than not. They have to show me they’re back on track. Until then, I’m expecting two hittable pitchers on the mound and hitters who break through. I expect some crooked numbers on Sunday afternoon. Give me the over in game 3.