Orioles vs Twins Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB doubleheader. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 21-20 this year after they won all three games against the Giants by scores of 3-1, 2-1, and 7-6. In their game three win, Minnesota blew a 5-4 lead in the eighth inning, but they were able to score twice in the 10th for the win. The Twins recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Lee, who went 3-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Minnesota started Lopez, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Duran got the win in extras. 

Prior to that series, the Twins won all three against the Orioles and two out of three against the Red Sox. Minnesota has won eight games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 164 runs with a .238 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with nine home runs and 26 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added six home runs and 20 RBIs this year. The projected starter for game one is Bailey Ober, who is 4-1 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota in game two is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 15-24 this season after they won two out of three against the Angels by scores of 4-1, 2-5, and 7-3. In their game three win, Baltimore trailed 2-1 after the first inning, but they scored the next six runs in the game to pull away with the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Handley and Henderson, who both had two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Eflin, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Bautista allowed one hit and one earned run in the ninth. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost all three against the Twins and two out of three against the Royals. Baltimore has lost six of their last eight games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and a .277 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 147 runs with a .227 batting average and a .296 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with seven home runs and 21 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore in game one is Dean Kremer, who is 3-4 with a 5.24 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 44.2 innings pitched this season. The projected starting pitcher for game two is TBD. 

Why the Twins will beat the Orioles

• The Twins have won each of their last eight games.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games following a road win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against American League opponents following a win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Twins’ last 10 day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last five home games on the first leg of a doubleheader have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine Wednesday day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Twins’ last 15 day games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Tyler O’Neill has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Twins.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Twins.
• Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against the Twins.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against AL opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Christian Vazquez has recorded a Single in each of his last four road appearances.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against AL East opponents.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four road appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
• Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.

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Orioles vs Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this series as one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last two weeks, but they are just 6-14 on the road. Minnesota has won eight games in a row, and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of its last five. Baltimore is coming off a series win, but they are just 15-24 on the season and 8-9 at home. In game one, I am going to back Ober, as he has been elite in his last few starts. In game two, it is tough to know what Baltimore will do for their starter, so I will back the Twins again, as Woods Richardson has been serviceable.