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Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 9/27/26 MLB Picks Today

Baltimore Orioles (79-82) vs. NY Yankees (93-68)
September 27, 2026 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -136 / Baltimore Orioles 113; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Yankees Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 27th in the final game of the regular season. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees have a 93-68 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 46-34 home record and are coming off a 6-3 home win against the Orioles.

The New York Yankees have a .235 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Cody Bellinger is the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average. Ben Rice leads the team in RBI with 97, adding a team-high 41 home runs.

Elmer Rodriguez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 0-3 record, 5.40 ERA and 1.58 WHIP.

Baltimore Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles have a 79-82 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL East. They have a 40-40 away record and are coming off a 3-6 road loss against the Yankees.

The Baltimore Orioles have a .234 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .396 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Pete Alonso is the team’s best hitter with a .267 batting average, leading the team in RBI with 113 and adding a team-high 43 home runs.

Shane Baz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 6-15 record, 4.11 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: September 27, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski      Record this season: 15-5      ERA: 1.86
  • Home Record: 7-1
  • Last 5 against Cardinals: 3-1

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
  • The Cardinals have lost eight of their last nine games at American Family Field.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
  • The Brewers have won the first inning in 12 of their last 15 home games against opponents that held a losing record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Andre Pallante      Record this season: 12-8      ERA: 3.61
  • Road Record: 7-1
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 0-4

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Cardinals following a win.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in 12 of their last 14 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road day games.
  • The Cardinals have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the Cardinals’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the last six games between the Cardinals and Brewers at American Family Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Jacob Misiorowski’s last four appearances as a starter against the Cardinals.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Cardinals’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jacob Misiorowski has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.86) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last nine Sunday games as underdogs.
  • Andre Pallante has recorded a win in seven of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1412).
  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.341).
  • The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for triples this season (14).
  • The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Orioles and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York.

In this Orioles vs Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -135 home favorites. Both pitchers have been bad, with a combined 9.55 ERA and Baz has given up 3+ runs in each of his last three starts and has been bad historically against the Yankees. Both games in this series had 12 and 9 total runs, as both teams average 10.7 runs per game combined against right-handed pitching in their last 10 games. Take the over 7.5 runs in this one.

 

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 7.5

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