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Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 5/12/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Yankees (26-16) vs. Baltimore Orioles (19-23)
May 12, 2026 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles 139 / NY Yankees -168; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles meet Tuesday in MLB action at Oriole Park. Here’s an Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction. This article will include an Orioles vs. Yankees Pick.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 26-16 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Mets next. The New York Yankees are batting .237 on the season and have a .331 OBP, and a .440 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 3.15 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Cody Bellinger leads the New York Yankees with 42 hits and 28 RBI while Aaron Judge and Ben Rice have combined for 79 hits and 59 RBI.

Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-1 with a 3.46 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. Warren is 2-2 with a 4.10 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Baltimore Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 19-23 on the year and play the Nationals and Rays next. The Baltimore Orioles are batting .230 on the season and have a .317 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Baltimore Orioles pitching staff has a 4.68 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. Taylor Ward leads the Baltimore Orioles with 37 hits and 12 RBI while Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso have combined for 69 hits and 43 RBI.

The Baltimore Orioles didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The home team has won each of the last eight games between the Yankees and Orioles.
  • The Yankees have lost 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites against AL East opponents following a loss.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last seven games.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 games against the Orioles.
  • The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against the Orioles.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday night games as road favorites.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Yankees’ last seven road games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last six games between the Yankees and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of Will Warren’s last seven appearances as a starter.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in four of his last five Tuesday appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in 26 of his 27 previous Tuesday night appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Taylor Ward ranks 1st amongst qualified players for On-Base Percentage (.422) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last five road games against AL opponents.
  • Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Yankees as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Orioles rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (381).
  • The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (389).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (64).
  • The Yankees rank T2nd in the league for runs scored this season (217).

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

We don’t know who the Orioles are throwing on the mound and they’ve had issues stringing wins together up to this point. The Yankees have been too consistent to see these losses pile up and Warren has been solid with a 3.46 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 41.2 innings along with 53 strikeouts. The Yankees have also owned the Orioles recently, which includes wins in 14 of the last 19 meetings. Give me the Yanks and the reasonable price. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Yankees -168

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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