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Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 8/20/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Yankees (71-55) vs. Baltimore Orioles (61-66)
August 20, 2026 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles 105 / NY Yankees -127; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 20th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 61-66 this year after they lost the first two games by scores of 1-3 and 3-5. In game two, Baltimore tied the game at three in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Beavers, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI. Bassitt allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Sanders picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Baltimore won three out of four against the Rays, but lost two out of three against the Twins before that. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 573 runs with a .236 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 29 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 20 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 7-11 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 133.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 71-55 this season after they won game two by a score of 5-3 last night. New York blew a 3-1 lead in the middle innings, but they scored twice in the eighth to get the win. The Yankees recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Lombard Jr, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Warren allowed three hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Headrick got the win and Bednar picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.24 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 559 runs with a .229 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 34 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 6-6 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 86.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The home team has won nine of the last 12 games between the Yankees and Orioles.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 16 night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Orioles have lost nine of their last 10 games against the Yankees following a loss.
  • The Yankees have won nine of their last 10 games against the Orioles following a win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last six games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games following a loss.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Orioles.
  • The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last six Thursday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Orioles.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last 10 games between the Yankees and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last four night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Gerrit Cole’s last seven appearances as a starter.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Orioles’ last 17 home games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four night games.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 11 games.
  • Kyle Bradish has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in each of his last seven Thursday appearances.
  • Luis Garcia has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
  • Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Orioles rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (485).
  • The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1159).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.24).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (467).

Orioles vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Yankees are 40-28 on the road this year, while the Orioles are 32-32 at home. Baltimore has dropped three in a row and they have allowed 15 runs in those three losses. The Orioles are starting Bradish, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Cole has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Take the Yankees to win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Yankees ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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